I specialize in international relations, with a particular emphasis on how democratization affects the emerging geopolitical landscape of the post-Arab spring world. I have looked at how the proliferation of elections helps states signal their resolve in times of interstate crises; at the role of the international community in preventing coups and inducing juntas to go to the polls; at sanctions and the fate of leaders; at the role of aid in pushing countries to liberalize; at the phenomenon of “electing friends” – states siding with the candidates running for office in other countries. In my work, I use surveys (existing and my own), experiments (natural, survey- and field- ones), and cross-national data. Some of my research involves geo-coding data and creating maps. I have helped create original data on elections and democracy, used in the discipline today. I received my BA from the American University in Bulgaria, and a PhD in Political Science from Stanford University. Previously, I have held faculty positions at the University of California at Los Angeles and at Yale University. At present, I am on the Political Science faculty of the University of Mannheim, Germany.
Marinov, Nikolay. 2005. “Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders?” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 49, pp. 564-576
Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Which Elections Can Be Lost?” Political Analysis, Vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 191-210
Corstange, Daniel and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Taking Sides in Other People’s Elections: The Polarizing Effect of Foreign Intervention.” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 53, 2012, pp. 655-670. MPSA Best Paper Award.
Kinne, Brandon and Nikolay Marinov. 2013. “Electoral Authoritarianism and Credible Signaling in International Relations”. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 57, pp. 359-386
Marinov, Nikolay. 2013. “Voter Attitudes When Democracy Promotion Turns Partisan: Evidence from a Survey-Experiment in Lebanon”. Democratization, Vol. 20, pp. 1297-1321
Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov. 2014. “Information and Self-Enforcing Democracy: the Role of International Election Observation”. Forthcoming in International Organization.
Goemans, Hein and Nikolay Marinov. 2014. “Coups and Democracy”. Forthcoming in British Journal of Political Science.
Revise and resubmit:
“The Effects of Aid on Rights and Governance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment” (with Peter Aronow and Allison Carnegie)
“Uncovering the Persuasive Effects of Democratic Criticism”
“Does Electoral Proximity Affect Security Policy?” (with William Nomikos and Joshua Robbins)
“Are Sanctions Good for Democracy?” (with Shmuel Nili)