Nikolay Marinov

I specialize in international relations, with a particular emphasis on how democratization affects the emerging geopolitical landscape of the post-Arab spring world.  I have looked at how the proliferation of elections helps states signal their resolve in times of interstate crises; at the role of the international community in preventing coups and inducing juntas to go to the polls; at sanctions and the fate of leaders; at the role of aid in pushing countries to liberalize. My book project examines the phenomenon of “electing friends”, or the phenomenon of states siding with the candidates running for office in other countries.  What are the consequences for democracy, corruption and the foreign policy of affected targets?  In my work, I use surveys (existing and my own), experiments (natural, survey- and field- ones), and cross-national data. Some of my research involves geo-coding data and creating maps. I have helped create original data on elections and democracy, used in the discipline today.  I received my undergraduate degree from the American University in Bulgaria, and a master’s in Economics and PhD in Political Science from Stanford University.

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Publications:

Marinov, Nikolay.  2005.  “Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders?” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 49, pp. 564-576

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Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Which Elections Can Be Lost?” Political Analysis, Vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 191-210

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Corstange, Daniel and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Taking Sides in Other People’s Elections: The Polarizing Effect of Foreign Intervention.” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 53, 2012, pp. 655-670.  MPSA Best Paper Award.

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Kinne, Brandon and Nikolay Marinov. 2013. “Electoral Authoritarianism and Credible Signaling in International Relations”.  Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 57, pp. 359-386

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Marinov, Nikolay. 2013. “Voter Attitudes When Democracy Promotion Turns Partisan: Evidence from a Survey-Experiment in Lebanon”. Forthcoming in Democratization.

Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov.  2013.  “Information and Self-Enforcing Democracy: the Role of International Election Observation”.  Forthcoming in International Organization. 

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Goemans, Hein and Nikolay Marinov.  2013. “Coups and Democracy”.  Forthcoming in British Journal of Political Science.