I specialize in international relations, with a particular emphasis on how democratization affects the emerging geopolitical landscape of the post-Arab spring world. I have looked at the role of the international community in reversing coups; at sanctions and the fate of leaders; at the role of aid in liberalization; at “electing friends” – states siding with the candidates running for office in other countries. I use surveys (existing and my own), experiments (natural, survey- and field- ones), and geo-coded data. I have helped create original data on elections and democracy, used in the discipline today. I received my BA from the American University in Bulgaria, and a PhD in Political Science from Stanford University. Previously, I have held faculty positions at Stanford, at the University of California at Los Angeles, at Yale University. At present, I hold a Juniorprofessorship for Empirical Democracy Research at the University of Mannheim, Germany.
Marinov, Nikolay. 2005. “Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders?” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 49, pp. 564-576
Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Which Elections Can Be Lost?” Political Analysis, Vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 191-210
Corstange, Daniel and Nikolay Marinov. 2012. “Taking Sides in Other People’s Elections: The Polarizing Effect of Foreign Intervention.” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 53, 2012, pp. 655-670. MPSA Best Paper Award.
Kinne, Brandon and Nikolay Marinov. 2013. “Electoral Authoritarianism and Credible Signaling in International Relations”. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 57, pp. 359-386
Marinov, Nikolay. 2013. “Voter Attitudes When Democracy Promotion Turns Partisan: Evidence from a Survey-Experiment in Lebanon”. Democratization, Vol. 20, pp. 1297-1321
Hyde, Susan and Nikolay Marinov. 2014. “Information and Self-Enforcing Democracy: the Role of International Election Observation”. International Organization, Vol. 68, Spring 2014, pp. 329–359.
Goemans, Hein and Nikolay Marinov. 2014. “Coups and Democracy”. Forthcoming in British Journal of Political Science.
“Uncovering the Persuasive Effects of Democratic Criticism”
“The Effects of Aid on Human Rights and Democracy: Evidence from the Rotating Presidency of the Council of the European Union” (with Peter Aronow and Allison Carnegie)
“Does Electoral Proximity Affect Security Policy?” (with William Nomikos and Joshua Robbins)
Foreign Support and the Electoral Performance of Candidates (with Milan Svolik)
Process or Party? Explaining Foreign Interventions in Democratizing Countries
Political Oppositions and Security Alliances: NATO and the Left (with Andrea Ceron)
Rains, Windfalls, and Corruption: The Value of Holding Public Office and the Decision to Steal (with Elena Nikolova)
Are Sanctions Good for Democracy? (with Shmuel Nili)
Infidels or Heretics? Sanctions and Human Rights Treaties
Does Social Media Promote Civic Activism? Evidence from a Field Experiment (with Lyubomir Kostadinov and Frank Schimmelfennig)