ENCoRe Workshop

German Development Institute Bonn 5-7 March 2015

All events take place in the lecture hall unless otherwise indicated

Academic panel 1: Post-conflict situations / The role of natural resources

Marijke Verpoorten (University of Anwerp) Christian von Haldenwang (DIE)

The peace dividend paradox: Natural resource wars in the shadow of the future Kaisa Hinkkainen (Lincoln University) & Joakim Kreutz (Uppsala University)

The competition over resources: A new approach in the context of low scale violence

Zorzeta Bakaki (ETH Zürich) & Elina Brutschin (University of Webster): Mediation after atrocities? An investigation of mediation supply and demand

Levke Kelm (University of Greifswald) & Margit Bussmann (University of Greifswald)
How can political trust be built after civil wars? Lessons from post-conflict Sierra

Leone Pui-Hang Wong (Maastricht University)

Break

Academic panel 2: The role of ethnicity and new media in conflict Anita Gohdes (University of Mannheim)
Joakim Kreutz (Uppsala University)

Tectonic boundaries and strongholds: Religious geography of violence in Northern Ireland

Hannes Mueller (Institut d’Analisi Economica, Barcelona), Dominic Rohner

(University of Lausanne) & David Schoenholzer (UC Berkeley) Digital discrimination? Ethnicity and Internet access

Nils Weidmann (University of Konstanz) & Suso Baleato (University of

Konstanz)
Internet and protests in authoritarian regimes

Kris Ruijgrok (University of Amsterdam)
What's behind a click? A field experiment using mobile advertising in Bosnia

Annerose Nisser (University of Konstanz) & Nils Weidmann (University of Konstanz)

10:30-10:50

10:50-12:20 Chair: Discussant: Presentations:

[Parallel to Academic panel 2:]

10:50-12:20

Seminar room

Chair: Discussant: Presentations:

Academic panel 3: Interaction between attitudes and conflict tbc

Armin von Schiller Calle (DIE)

Election fraud and collective action: Individual attitudes and participation in protest in Nigeria

Ursula Daxecker (University of Amsterdam), Jessica Di Salvatore

(University of Amsterdam) & Andrea Ruggeri (University of Oxford) The ethos of conflict in northern Kosovo Serbs

Janko Međedović (Institute of Criminological and Sociological Research, Belgrade) & Boban Petrović (Institute of Criminological and Sociological Research, Belgrade)

Explaining political participation by looking at stress and threat: Israelis and Palestinians

Shani Fachter (Hebrew University of Jerusalem), Daphna Canetti

(University of Haifa) & Amal Jamal (Tel Aviv University)
Policy preference regarding asylum seekers: Evidence from studies in Israel and Australia
Keren Snider (Haifa University), Daphna Canetti (Haifa University) & Anne Pedersen

Lunch

Data panel 1: Updates on conflict data

Sabine Carey (University of Mannheim)

The Ethnic Power Relations (EPR) Core Dataset and the GROWup platform Luc Giradin (ETH Zurich) & Lars-Erik Cederman (ETH Zurich)

The Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset (GED) Maria Greek (Uppsala University)

A matter of definition: Current concepts of conflict and the Heidelberg approach Christoph Trinn (Heidelberg University), Thomas Wencker (Heidelberg University) & Nicolas Schwank (Heidelberg University)

Break

Roundtable 1: Inequality and conflict Kristin Bakke (University College London) Lars-Erik Cederman (ETH Zurich)
Christian Jetzlsperger (German Federal Foreign) Marcel Räcker (OECD)

Joint ENCoRe working groups meeting [members only] Workshop dinner at Bönnsch

12:20-13:50

Plenary hall

13:50-15:20 Chair: Presentations:

15:20-15:40 15:40-17:10

17:10-18:40 19:30

Friday

08:15-9:30

Seminar room

09:30-11:00 Chair: Discussant:

Working group one-sided violence [members only]

Policy panel 1: Peacebuilding and peacekeeping
Volker Hauck (European Centre for Development Policy Management) Sofia Warttmann (Scientific advisor to member of German parliament Tom Koenigs)

Presentations:
Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations

11:00-11:20 11:20-12:20

12:20-13:50

Plenary hall

13:50-15:20 Chair: Discussant:

Håvard Hegre (Uppsala University), Lisa Hultman (Uppsala University) &

Håvard Nygård (PRIO)
Civil war terminations, international support, and successful peacebuilding

Joakim Kreutz (Uppsala University)
International interventions: How useful are disarmament, demobilization and reintegration programs?
Lilli Banholzer (University of Mannheim)

Break

Roundtable 2: The role of the Internet in conflict Nils Weidmann (University of Konstanz)

Anita Gohdes (University of Mannheim)

tbc

tbc

Lunch
Policy panel 2:

Non-state armed groups

Jörn Grävingholt (DIE)
Ulrike Hopp-Nishanka (German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development)

Presentations:
The internal dynamics of armed groups and opposition movements

15:20-15:40 15:40-17:10

17:10-18:40

Kristin Bakke (University College London), Kathleen Cunningham

(University of Maryland) & Lee Seymour (University of Amsterdam) Proxies and armed non-state actors: Conflict on the cheap

Sabine Carey (University of Mannheim) & Neil Mitchell (UCL) How does inter-state rivalry influence the internal conflict dynamics?

Belgin San-Akca (Koç University Istanbul)

Break

Roundtable 3: Predicting armed conflict Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (University of Essex) Sebastian Schutte (University of Konstanz)
Simon Thacker (UK Cabinet Office)

Alex Smethurst (NATO)

Management committee (MC) meeting [MC members only] 3

Seminar room

Saturday

08:00-09:00

Seminar room

09:00-10:30 Chair: Presentations:

Working group administrative units [members only]
Data panel 2: Data on non-state actors and governance

tbc

A pre-view of the Pro-Government Militias Dataset (PGMD), version 2 Sabine Carey (University of Mannheim) & Neil Mitchell (UCL)

Non-state armed groups dataset
Belgin San-Akca (Koç University Istanbul)

The diversity of non-state armed actors in civil conflicts – the History of Armed Actors/groups Dataset (HAAD)
Anita Gohdes (University of Mannheim), Adam Scharpf (University of Mannheim) & Sabine Otto (University of Konstanz)

The Quality of Government Expert Survey Hartmann Felix (Gothenburg University)

Archigos
Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (University of Essex)

Break

Academic panel 4: Coercion in international conflict / Methodological issues

Gerald Schneider (University of Konstanz) Simon Hug (University of Geneva)

Coercion provocation and reputation concerns
Allan Dafoe (Yale University) & Sophia Hatz (Uppsala University)

Sanctions and democracy
Nikolay Marinov (University of Mannheim) & Shmuel Nili (Yale University)

Regions at risk: Predicting conflict zones in African insurgencies Sebastian Schutte (University of Konstanz)

Estimating interdependence across space, time and outcomes in binary choice models

Julian Wucherpfennig (ETH Zurich), Aya Kachi (ETH Zurich) & Nils- Christian Bormann (ETH Zurich)

End of the workshop